LIVE MACRO & CRYPTO ANCHORS

₿

Bitcoin Poly $120K: 44¢

$98,230.50 ▲ 2.45%

Ξ

Ethereum Poly $4K: 52¢

$2,740.15 ▼ 1.12%

◎

Solana Poly $300: 49¢

$188.40 ▲ 3.84%

SPX

S&P 500

$5,910.80 ▲ 0.54%

NDX

Nasdaq 100

$21,490.20 ▲ 0.82%

TradingView K-Line →

FINTECHPRO × TRADINGVIEW LIVE K-LINE & CLOB 5-LEVEL ORDERBOOK WORKBENCH

Watchlist + Live Binance Candlestick Chart (`15M / 1H / 4H / 1D`) + Polymarket CLOB Order Book

Analyze live Binance candlesticks with TradingView LightweightCharts while simultaneously inspecting Polymarket's YES/NO CLOB orderbook depth on the right.

https://p.day/terminal/clob-live/BTC-USD · Polymarket × Binance Live Feed

● WebSocket / REST 2s Sync

Watchlist

₿ BTC/USD $98,230

Poly YES: 44¢ (2.27x)

Ξ ETH/USD $2,740

Poly YES: 52¢ (1.92x)

◎ SOL/USD $188.4

Poly YES: 49¢ (2.04x)

Ð DOGE/USD $0.248

Poly YES: 38¢ (2.63x)

Cross-Market Alpha

When Binance 15m candles break out before Polymarket CLOB reprices, an 8–25s latency arbitrage window opens.

BTC/USD

$98,230.50 +2.45% BTC > $120K · YES 44¢

Polymarket CLOB Order Book 0% Maker Fee

Asks (Sell YES) Shares ($ USDC)

YES 44.0¢ Spread: 0.5¢

Bids (Buy YES) Shares ($ USDC)

Trade on Polymarket (0% Fee) Hedge Perps on OKX

CLOB

2026 US Midterm Elections: Balance of Power (Senate & House Control)

Polygon Live 5-Level Orderbook · 0% Maker Fee

58¢

24h $2.85M

Side & Price (USDC) Order Size (Shares) Total Depth (USDC)

SELL YES · 60.4¢ 34,600 sh $20,898 USDC

SELL YES · 59.6¢ 27,800 sh $16,568 USDC

SELL YES · 58.8¢ 21,000 sh $12,348 USDC

Bid-Ask Spread: 0.8¢ · Implied Payout 1.72x

BUY YES · 57.2¢ 25,900 sh $14,814 USDC

BUY YES · 56.4¢ 33,300 sh $18,781 USDC

BUY YES · 55.6¢ 40,700 sh $22,629 USDC

✓ UMA Optimistic Oracle v3 On-Chain Resolution Trade This Market (0% Maker Fee) →

CAL

Macro Catalysts & UMA Resolution Calendar

Live tracking of high-volatility settlement windows & JEV edge

UMA Rules →

Macro Window

Today 20:30

2026 US Midterm Elections: Balance of Power (Senate & House Control)

Mkt Implied: 58% (58¢) · JEV Calibrated: 66% (+8% EV)

HIGH IMPACT

FOMC Window

Tomorrow 02:00

How many Federal Reserve (FOMC) Interest Rate Cuts in 2026?

Mkt Implied: 63% (63¢) · JEV Calibrated: 71% (+8% EV)

HIGH IMPACT

UMA Oracle

In 48h

2028 US Presidential Election: Republican & Democratic Nominee Odds

Mkt Implied: 54% (54¢) · JEV Calibrated: 62% (+8% EV)

MED IMPACT

Options Expiry

Friday Close

Which company will have the #1 Frontier AI Model at the end of 2026?

Mkt Implied: 61% (61¢) · JEV Calibrated: 69% (+8% EV)

HIGH IMPACT

JEV Half-Kelly Portfolio Live Snapshot Live Benchmark

Open Simulator ↗

Active Signal Pool

$428.6M+

Avg Signal +EV

+8.9% EV

90D Copy Win Rate

82.4% (Sharpe 2.6)

● POLYMARKET GAMMA & CLOB ORDERBOOK

Global Prediction Markets Live Hall · Elections & Geopolitics

Trade on Polymarket →

🇺🇸 US Midterms · Balance of Power

JEV 99.5% 24h $2.85M

2026 US Midterm Elections: Balance of Power (Senate & House Control)

Capitol Hill · Real-money Polygon CLOB orderbook vs. traditional polling averages

YES 58% NO 42%

JEV: 69% (+11% EV) Calc Kelly (13.1%)

Buy Yes 58¢ Buy No 42¢

Total Pool: $34.6M Payout: 1.72x

🇺🇸 2028 US Presidential Race

JEV 99.1% 24h $1.76M

2028 US Presidential Election: Republican & Democratic Nominee Odds

Early institutional smart-money positioning on the 2028 White House race

YES 54% NO 46%

JEV: 65% (+11% EV) Calc Kelly (12.0%)

Buy Yes 54¢ Buy No 46¢

Total Pool: $22.4M Payout: 1.85x

🇺🇸 US & UK Spotlight

JEV 98.4% 24h $3.65M

US Midterm Balance of Power: Which party will control the US Senate & House?

CLOB Orderbook · 24h $3.65M

YES 54% NO 46%

JEV: 60% (+6% EV) Calc Kelly (6.5%)

Buy Yes 54¢ Buy No 46¢

Total Pool: $38.40M Payout: 1.85x

Elections

JEV 95.8% 24h $1.75M

Global Election Bellwether: Will the incumbent coalition win the next major G20 election?

CLOB Orderbook · 24h $1.75M

YES 53% NO 47%

JEV: 60% (+7% EV) Calc Kelly (7.4%)

Buy Yes 53¢ Buy No 47¢

Total Pool: $22.40M Payout: 1.89x

Geopolitics

JEV 95.8% 24h $3.08M

Will an official Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement be signed in 2026?

CLOB Orderbook · 24h $3.08M

YES 41% NO 59%

JEV: 51% (+10% EV) Calc Kelly (8.5%)

Buy Yes 41¢ Buy No 59¢

Total Pool: $53.90M Payout: 2.44x

POLY DAY (P.DAY) · UBERSUGGEST TRENDING PREDICTION MARKET TOPICS

Poly Day (p.day) — Complete Guide to Prediction Markets, Polymarket Invite Code, Kalshi vs Polymarket & Live CLOB Odds

High-volume Polymarket queries, live CLOB odds, referral code, and regulatory guides

#Prediction Market Live Odds #What is a Prediction Market?#Polymarket Invite Code & Referral Code #Polymarket President & Midterms #Polymarket Gov Shutdown Odds #Clarity Act Polymarket #Polymarket Iran & Geopolitics #Kalshi vs Polymarket Comparison #Polymarket Stocks & IPO Status #Polymarket API & CLOB Analytics #Polymarket Whale Tracker #Half-Kelly Criterion Calculator

Poly Day (p.day) is the flagship 15-language intelligence terminal for the global prediction market ecosystem. As searches for «prediction market», «what is prediction market», «polymarket gov shutdown», «polymarket president», «polymarket iran», and «clarity act polymarket» surge worldwide, Polymarket's Polygon Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) prices real-time probabilities between 1¢ and 99¢ USDC with deeper liquidity and faster price discovery than traditional polls.

Whether you are comparing «Kalshi vs Polymarket», researching «polymarket stocks» (note: Polymarket is private; traders buy event outcome shares rather than equity), querying the «polymarket api», or looking for an official «polymarket invite code» / «polymarket referral code», Poly Day (p.day) delivers 60-second orderbook telemetry, smart-money whale alerts (>75% win rate), and Half-Kelly position sizing.