新手第一次玩量化推荐套餐组合深度分析：1,000U 本金跑 Polymarket 尾盘 Penny Clipper + 被动 LP 补贴一个月能赚多少？

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
P.DAY 新手 $1,000 USDC 量化起步黄金套餐：
5x$200 分仓尾盘收割 (Penny Clipper) + 被动 LP 补贴月度复利测算 & AI 规则防爆雷过滤器
官方 Polymarket 入口: https://poly.market/p-day
免代码派网 AI 网格入口: https://accounts.pionex.com/zh-TW/signUp?r=0eDnUwgcHjo
"""

def simulate_1000u_monthly_quant_combo(
    total_bankroll_usdc: float = 1000.0,
    slots: int = 5,                        # 铁律1: 拆成 5 份独立仓位 (每仓 $200)，严禁单盘口梭哈
    avg_entry_price: float = 0.980,        # 铁律3: 只挂 97.5¢~98.5¢ Maker 限价单 (0% 手续费)
    avg_hold_days: float = 2.2,            # 尾盘平均 2.2 天完成一次 UMA 结算回笼资金
    daily_lp_reward_bps: float = 12.0,     # 挂单等待期间顺带获取的官方每日 LP 做市补贴 (约 0.12%/天)
    execution_fill_ratio: float = 0.65,    # 扣除排队未成交与资金切换闲置后的真实资金利用率 (65%)
) -> dict:
    slot_size = round(total_bankroll_usdc / slots, 2)
    gross_roi_per_turn = (1.00 - avg_entry_price) / avg_entry_price
    turns_per_month = 30.0 / avg_hold_days
    effective_turns = round(turns_per_month * execution_fill_ratio, 1)

    # 1. Penny Clipper 尾盘结算净收益 (0% Maker Fee)
    penny_clipper_profit = round(total_bankroll_usdc * gross_roi_per_turn * effective_turns, 2)
    # 2. 挂单期间顺手获得的 Polymarket Daily Liquidity Rewards 补贴
    lp_subsidy_profit = round(total_bankroll_usdc * (daily_lp_reward_bps / 10000.0) * 30.0 * execution_fill_ratio, 2)
    total_net_profit = round(penny_clipper_profit + lp_subsidy_profit, 2)
    monthly_roi_pct = round((total_net_profit / total_bankroll_usdc) * 100.0, 2)

    return {
        "bankroll_split": f"{slots} slots × ${slot_size:.0f} USDC (Max 20% exposure per market)",
        "entry_price_maker_0_fee": f"{avg_entry_price * 100:.1f}¢ -> Settles at 100.0¢ (+{gross_roi_per_turn * 100:.2f}%/turn)",
        "effective_monthly_turns": f"{effective_turns}x full capital rotations / month",
        "penny_clipper_net_usdc": f"+${penny_clipper_profit:.2f} USDC",
        "passive_lp_rewards_usdc": f"+${lp_subsidy_profit:.2f} USDC",
        "estimated_monthly_net_profit": f"+${total_net_profit:.2f} USDC ({monthly_roi_pct}% Monthly / {monthly_roi_pct * 12:.0f}% APR)",
    }

if __name__ == "__main__":
    for tier_name, price, hold, fill in [
        ("保守档 (只接 >=98.5¢ 极稳单)", 0.985, 3.0, 0.55),
        ("标准档 (接 98.0¢ 尾盘 + LP补贴)", 0.980, 2.2, 0.65),
        ("活跃档 (季后赛/财报/大选密集月)", 0.975, 1.6, 0.72),
    ]:
        res = simulate_1000u_monthly_quant_combo(1000.0, 5, price, hold, 12.0, fill)
        print(f"\n=== {tier_name} ===")
        for k, v in res.items():
            print(f"  {k:30s}: {v}")