Report Giornalieri di Ricerca Alpha e Smart-Money su Polymarket

Fed e Macroeconomia

96.2% $48.60M

Sì: 74% (74¢)

24h: $4.12M · 1.35x

Prob. Reale JEV: 84% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (19.2%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Will the Fed cut interest rates by 25 bps at the next FOMC meeting?

2026-10-26 · Will the Fed cut interest rates by 25 bps at the next FOMC meeting? (74¢ / 1.35x · $48.60M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Fed e Macroeconomia

96.2% $29.80M

Sì: 67% (67¢)

24h: $2.90M · 1.49x

Prob. Reale JEV: 78% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (16.7%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Federal Reserve FOMC Decision: Will the Fed cut interest rates in Q4 2026?

2026-10-26 · Federal Reserve FOMC Decision: Will the Fed cut interest rates in Q4 2026? (67¢ / 1.49x · $29.80M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $15.8M

Sì: 82% (82¢)

24h: $1.36M · 1.22x

Prob. Reale JEV: 93% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (30.6%)

Report Davide Conti: Korean Peninsula Security: Will inter-korean deterrence hold without military clash in 2026?

2026-10-31 · Korean Peninsula Security: Will inter-korean deterrence hold without military clash in 2026? (82¢ / 1.22x · $15.8M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-31

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Fed e Macroeconomia

99.0% $62.77M

Sì: 94% (94¢)

24h: $1.58M · 1.06x

Prob. Reale JEV: 96% (+2% EV) Calcola con Kelly (16.7%)

Report Davide Conti: Fed Decision in October?

2026-10-25 · Fed Decision in October? (94¢ / 1.06x · $62.77M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

97.5% $10.86M

Sì: 1% (1¢)

24h: $712.5K · 100.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 8% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.5%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

2026-10-25 · What price will Bitcoin hit in October? (1¢ / 100.0x · $10.86M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

96.2% $31.20M

Sì: 42% (42¢)

24h: $2.45M · 2.38x

Prob. Reale JEV: 52% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.6%)

Report Chiara De Luca: UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

2026-10-26 · UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion (42¢ / 2.38x · $31.20M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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IA e Tecnologia

96.2% $19.40M

Sì: 58% (58¢)

24h: $1.82M · 1.72x

Prob. Reale JEV: 69% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (13.1%)

Report Davide Conti: Silicon Valley AI & IPO Bellwether: Will Anthropic or OpenAI hit record valuation?

2026-10-26 · Silicon Valley AI & IPO Bellwether: Will Anthropic or OpenAI hit record valuation? (58¢ / 1.72x · $19.40M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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IA e Tecnologia

94.0% $6.09M

Sì: 17% (17¢)

24h: $20.8K · 5.88x

Prob. Reale JEV: 23% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.6%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

2026-10-25 · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? (17¢ / 5.88x · $6.09M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

91.8% $18.57M

Sì: 24% (24¢)

24h: $76.9K · 4.17x

Prob. Reale JEV: 32% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.3%)

Report Giulia Moretti: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

2026-10-25 · What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? (24¢ / 4.17x · $18.57M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

91.7% $6.69M

Sì: 64% (64¢)

24h: $14.0K · 1.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 75% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (15.3%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

2026-10-25 · Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? (64¢ / 1.56x · $6.69M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.6% $478.5K

Sì: 75% (75¢)

24h: $25.8K · 1.33x

Prob. Reale JEV: 86% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (22.0%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

2026-10-25 · Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) (75¢ / 1.33x · $478.5K USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

91.5% $466.2K

Sì: 87% (87¢)

24h: $341.3K · 1.15x

Prob. Reale JEV: 94% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (26.9%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?

2026-10-25 · Bitcoin above ___ on October 25? (87¢ / 1.15x · $466.2K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

91.3% $763.2K

Sì: 4% (4¢)

24h: $233.7K · 25.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 13% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.7%)

Report Davide Conti: What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

2026-10-25 · What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25? (4¢ / 25.0x · $763.2K USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.3% $54.82M

Sì: 97% (97¢)

24h: $72.2K · 1.03x

Prob. Reale JEV: 99% (+2% EV) Calcola con Kelly (33.3%)

Report Davide Conti: How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

2026-10-25 · How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? (97¢ / 1.03x · $54.82M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.2% $827.4K

Sì: 64% (64¢)

24h: $18.8K · 1.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 71% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.7%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Largest Company end of October 2026?

2026-10-25 · Largest Company end of October 2026? (64¢ / 1.56x · $827.4K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

89.7% $2.98M

Sì: 38% (38¢)

24h: $20.7K · 2.63x

Prob. Reale JEV: 48% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.1%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

2026-10-25 · Which company has best AI model end of 2026? (38¢ / 2.63x · $2.98M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

87.6% $8.93M

Sì: 60% (60¢)

24h: $21.2K · 1.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 68% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.0%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Largest Company end of December 2026?

2026-10-25 · Largest Company end of December 2026? (60¢ / 1.67x · $8.93M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

87.4% $1.00M

Sì: 14% (14¢)

24h: $44.9K · 7.14x

Prob. Reale JEV: 25% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.4%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

2026-10-25 · OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? (14¢ / 7.14x · $1.00M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

87.3% $78.17M

Sì: 30% (30¢)

24h: $342.4K · 3.33x

Prob. Reale JEV: 39% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.4%)

Report Chiara De Luca: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

2026-10-25 · What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? (30¢ / 3.33x · $78.17M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

86.0% $87.2K

Sì: 88% (88¢)

24h: $87.6K · 1.14x

Prob. Reale JEV: 93% (+5% EV) Calcola con Kelly (20.8%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?

2026-10-25 · Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? (88¢ / 1.14x · $87.2K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

86.0% $1.70M

Sì: 6% (6¢)

24h: $381.6K · 16.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 16% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.3%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

2026-10-25 · What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25? (6¢ / 16.67x · $1.70M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

85.9% $3.44M

Sì: 8% (8¢)

24h: $47.5K · 12.5x

Prob. Reale JEV: 15% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.8%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Which company has the best AI model end of October?

2026-10-25 · Which company has the best AI model end of October? (8¢ / 12.5x · $3.44M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

85.6% $4.28M

Sì: 1% (1¢)

24h: $118.9K · 100.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 12% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.6%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

2026-10-25 · What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? (1¢ / 100.0x · $4.28M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

84.9% $5.44M

Sì: 77% (77¢)

24h: $27.4K · 1.3x

Prob. Reale JEV: 83% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (13.0%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Anthropic IPO by __?

2026-10-25 · Anthropic IPO by __? (77¢ / 1.3x · $5.44M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

84.8% $130.8K

Sì: 92% (92¢)

24h: $87.5K · 1.09x

Prob. Reale JEV: 95% (+3% EV) Calcola con Kelly (18.8%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Ethereum above ___ on October 25?

2026-10-25 · Ethereum above ___ on October 25? (92¢ / 1.09x · $130.8K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

84.5% $415.8K

Sì: 45% (45¢)

24h: $14.5K · 2.22x

Prob. Reale JEV: 54% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.2%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Which company has the best AI model end of November?

2026-10-25 · Which company has the best AI model end of November? (45¢ / 2.22x · $415.8K USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

84.5% $1.06M

Sì: 76% (76¢)

24h: $18.4K · 1.32x

Prob. Reale JEV: 84% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (16.7%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

2026-10-25 · Another Fed rate hike in 2026? (76¢ / 1.32x · $1.06M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

84.5% $2.80M

Sì: 1% (1¢)

24h: $143.2K · 100.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 7% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.0%)

Report Chiara De Luca: What price will Ethereum hit in October?

2026-10-25 · What price will Ethereum hit in October? (1¢ / 100.0x · $2.80M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

99.1% $196.84M

Sì: 20% (20¢)

24h: $2.76M · 5.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 30% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.2%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Brazil Presidential Election

2026-10-25 · Brazil Presidential Election (20¢ / 5.0x · $196.84M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

98.8% $831.5K

Sì: 60% (60¢)

24h: $668.6K · 1.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 70% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (12.5%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Steelers vs. Saints

2026-10-25 · Steelers vs. Saints (60¢ / 1.67x · $831.5K USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

97.8% $543.0K

Sì: 50% (50¢)

24h: $563.0K · 2.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 59% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.0%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs. Katerina Siniakova

2026-10-25 · Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs. Katerina Siniakova (50¢ / 2.0x · $543.0K USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

97.5% $4.13M

Sì: 36% (36¢)

24h: $618.4K · 2.78x

Prob. Reale JEV: 43% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.5%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: LoL Worlds 2026: Tournament Champion

2026-10-25 · LoL Worlds 2026: Tournament Champion (36¢ / 2.78x · $4.13M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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₿ Cripto e Web3

97.1% $7.46M

Sì: 8% (8¢)

24h: $132.4K · 12.5x

Prob. Reale JEV: 17% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.9%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2026-10-25 · Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? (8¢ / 12.5x · $7.46M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

96.2% $38.40M

Sì: 54% (54¢)

24h: $3.65M · 1.85x

Prob. Reale JEV: 60% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.5%)

Report Chiara De Luca: US Midterm Balance of Power: Which party will control the US Senate & House?

2026-10-26 · US Midterm Balance of Power: Which party will control the US Senate & House? (54¢ / 1.85x · $38.40M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Fed e Macroeconomia

96.2% $31.50M

Sì: 29% (29¢)

24h: $1.94M · 3.45x

Prob. Reale JEV: 38% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.3%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Will the US economy enter an official NBER recession in 2026?

2026-10-26 · Will the US economy enter an official NBER recession in 2026? (29¢ / 3.45x · $31.50M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

96.2% $22.40M

Sì: 53% (53¢)

24h: $1.75M · 1.89x

Prob. Reale JEV: 60% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.4%)

Report Davide Conti: Global Election Bellwether: Will the incumbent coalition win the next major G20 election?

2026-10-26 · Global Election Bellwether: Will the incumbent coalition win the next major G20 election? (53¢ / 1.89x · $22.40M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

96.2% $53.90M

Sì: 41% (41¢)

24h: $3.08M · 2.44x

Prob. Reale JEV: 51% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.5%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Will an official Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement be signed in 2026?

2026-10-26 · Will an official Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement be signed in 2026? (41¢ / 2.44x · $53.90M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

93.8% $2.63M

Sì: 22% (22¢)

24h: $2.60M · 4.55x

Prob. Reale JEV: 31% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.8%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Rockets vs. Hawks

2026-10-25 · Rockets vs. Hawks (22¢ / 4.55x · $2.63M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

93.1% $2.06M

Sì: 51% (51¢)

24h: $1.98M · 1.96x

Prob. Reale JEV: 60% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.2%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Nets vs. Cavaliers

2026-10-25 · Nets vs. Cavaliers (51¢ / 1.96x · $2.06M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

92.3% $7.65M

Sì: 8% (8¢)

24h: $4.6K · 12.5x

Prob. Reale JEV: 18% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.4%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: US military action against Cuba by...?

2026-10-25 · US military action against Cuba by...? (8¢ / 12.5x · $7.65M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

92.2% $249.1K

Sì: 1% (1¢)

24h: $87.8K · 100.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 11% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.1%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

2026-10-25 · Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026? (1¢ / 100.0x · $249.1K USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

92.2% $983.1K

Sì: 35% (35¢)

24h: $25.6K · 2.86x

Prob. Reale JEV: 42% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.4%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

2026-10-25 · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? (35¢ / 2.86x · $983.1K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $1.61M

Sì: 30% (30¢)

24h: $312.0K · 3.33x

Prob. Reale JEV: 36% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.3%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

2026-10-27 · Israel Election: Likud # of seats? (30¢ / 3.33x · $1.61M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-27

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

92.0% $374.3K

Sì: 52% (52¢)

24h: $373.7K · 1.92x

Prob. Reale JEV: 61% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.4%)

Report Giulia Moretti: India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs. India

2026-10-27 · India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs. India (52¢ / 1.92x · $374.3K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-27

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $1.99M

Sì: 2% (2¢)

24h: $995.7K · 50.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 8% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.1%)

Report Davide Conti: France declares state of emergency by...?

2026-10-27 · France declares state of emergency by...? (2¢ / 50.0x · $1.99M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-27

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $39.33M

Sì: 90% (90¢)

24h: $286.7K · 1.11x

Prob. Reale JEV: 94% (+4% EV) Calcola con Kelly (20.0%)

Report Davide Conti: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

2026-10-26 · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? (90¢ / 1.11x · $39.33M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $1.42M

Sì: 4% (4¢)

24h: $1.2K · 25.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 15% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.7%)

Report Chiara De Luca: China x Japan military clash before 2027?

2026-10-26 · China x Japan military clash before 2027? (4¢ / 25.0x · $1.42M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $336.2K

Sì: 6% (6¢)

24h: $2.8K · 16.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 15% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.8%)

Report Chiara De Luca: China x India military clash by...?

2026-10-26 · China x India military clash by...? (6¢ / 16.67x · $336.2K USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Fed e Macroeconomia

92.0% $16.9K

Sì: 5% (5¢)

24h: $3.2K · 20.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 14% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.7%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

2026-10-26 · China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? (5¢ / 20.0x · $16.9K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

92.0% $30.7K

Sì: 23% (23¢)

24h: $4.9K · 4.35x

Prob. Reale JEV: 30% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.5%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: October Inflation China - Annual

2026-10-26 · October Inflation China - Annual (23¢ / 4.35x · $30.7K USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $557.3K

Sì: 22% (22¢)

24h: $4.9K · 4.55x

Prob. Reale JEV: 32% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.4%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

2026-10-25 · China x Philippines military clash before 2027? (22¢ / 4.55x · $557.3K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.9% $166.7K

Sì: 56% (56¢)

24h: $14.0K · 1.79x

Prob. Reale JEV: 63% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.0%)

Report Giulia Moretti: How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

2026-10-25 · How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? (56¢ / 1.79x · $166.7K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.6% $25.18M

Sì: 83% (83¢)

24h: $1.04M · 1.2x

Prob. Reale JEV: 90% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (20.6%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

2026-10-25 · US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? (83¢ / 1.2x · $25.18M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $13.0M

Sì: 63% (63¢)

24h: $1.15M · 1.59x

Prob. Reale JEV: 70% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.5%)

Report Giulia Moretti: South Korea National Football Team (Son Heung-min & Lee Kang-in) to reach World Cup Knockout Stage?

2026-11-02 · South Korea National Football Team (Son Heung-min & Lee Kang-in) to reach World Cup Knockout Stage? (63¢ / 1.59x · $13.0M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-11-02

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IA e Tecnologia

91.5% $14.3M

Sì: 77% (77¢)

24h: $1.24M · 1.30x

Prob. Reale JEV: 83% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (13.0%)

Report Davide Conti: Samsung Electronics & SK Hynix to hold #1 Global HBM4 AI Memory Share in 2026?

2026-11-02 · Samsung Electronics & SK Hynix to hold #1 Global HBM4 AI Memory Share in 2026? (77¢ / 1.30x · $14.3M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-11-02

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $21.4M

Sì: 68% (68¢)

24h: $1.95M · 1.47x

Prob. Reale JEV: 77% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (14.1%)

Report Giulia Moretti: League of Legends Worlds: Will a Korean LCK Team (T1 / Gen.G / HLE) win Worlds?

2026-11-01 · League of Legends Worlds: Will a Korean LCK Team (T1 / Gen.G / HLE) win Worlds? (68¢ / 1.47x · $21.4M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-11-01

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $16.9M

Sì: 56% (56¢)

24h: $1.48M · 1.79x

Prob. Reale JEV: 65% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.2%)

Report Giulia Moretti: South Korea Politics: Next Presidential & Seoul Mayoral Election Party Winner?

2026-11-01 · South Korea Politics: Next Presidential & Seoul Mayoral Election Party Winner? (56¢ / 1.79x · $16.9M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-11-01

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IA e Tecnologia

91.5% $8.4M

Sì: 64% (64¢)

24h: $720.0K · 1.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 75% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (15.3%)

Report Davide Conti: Japan Rapidus 2nm & TSMC Kumamoto AI Semiconductor Milestone in 2026?

2026-10-31 · Japan Rapidus 2nm & TSMC Kumamoto AI Semiconductor Milestone in 2026? (64¢ / 1.56x · $8.4M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-31

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $25.4M

Sì: 76% (76¢)

24h: $2.30M · 1.32x

Prob. Reale JEV: 84% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (16.7%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Shohei Ohtani (LA Dodgers) to win NL MVP & World Series Title?

2026-10-31 · Shohei Ohtani (LA Dodgers) to win NL MVP & World Series Title? (76¢ / 1.32x · $25.4M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-31

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.5% $17.9M

Sì: 66% (66¢)

24h: $1.54M · 1.52x

Prob. Reale JEV: 75% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (13.2%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Additional Rate Hike & USD/JPY Macro Outlook 2026?

2026-10-30 · Bank of Japan (BOJ) Additional Rate Hike & USD/JPY Macro Outlook 2026? (66¢ / 1.52x · $17.9M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-30

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $10.8M

Sì: 57% (57¢)

24h: $940.0K · 1.75x

Prob. Reale JEV: 65% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.3%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Japan Politics: Will the ruling LDP coalition hold majority in the next election?

2026-10-30 · Japan Politics: Will the ruling LDP coalition hold majority in the next election? (57¢ / 1.75x · $10.8M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-30

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $9.6M

Sì: 71% (71¢)

24h: $820.0K · 1.41x

Prob. Reale JEV: 79% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (13.8%)

Report Davide Conti: India-China LAC De-escalation & Border Patrolling Agreement holds through 2026?

2026-10-30 · India-China LAC De-escalation & Border Patrolling Agreement holds through 2026? (71¢ / 1.41x · $9.6M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-30

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $26.5M

Sì: 74% (74¢)

24h: $2.40M · 1.35x

Prob. Reale JEV: 85% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (21.2%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: India vs Pakistan (IND vs PAK) Cricket Match Winner: Will India win?

2026-10-29 · India vs Pakistan (IND vs PAK) Cricket Match Winner: Will India win? (74¢ / 1.35x · $26.5M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-29

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $22.6M

Sì: 64% (64¢)

24h: $2.15M · 1.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 75% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (15.3%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Team India to win next ICC Cricket Trophy / WTC Final?

2026-10-29 · Team India to win next ICC Cricket Trophy / WTC Final? (64¢ / 1.56x · $22.6M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-29

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $19.40M

Sì: 17% (17¢)

24h: $2.18M · 5.88x

Prob. Reale JEV: 25% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.8%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Israel x Turkey Military Clash Before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Israel x Turkey Military Clash Before 2027? (17¢ / 5.88x · $19.40M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $19.80M

Sì: 34% (34¢)

24h: $1.92M · 2.94x

Prob. Reale JEV: 41% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.3%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Israel & Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Israel & Saudi Arabia Normalize Relations Before 2027? (34¢ / 2.94x · $19.80M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $24.30M

Sì: 19% (19¢)

24h: $2.28M · 5.26x

Prob. Reale JEV: 25% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.7%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Iran Nuclear Weapon Before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Iran Nuclear Weapon Before 2027? (19¢ / 5.26x · $24.30M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $28.90M

Sì: 27% (27¢)

24h: $2.65M · 3.70x

Prob. Reale JEV: 37% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.8%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Will the Iranian Regime Fall by the End of 2026?

2026-10-26 · Will the Iranian Regime Fall by the End of 2026? (27¢ / 3.70x · $28.90M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $75.49M

Sì: 18% (18¢)

24h: $143.9K · 5.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 28% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.1%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? (18¢ / 5.56x · $75.49M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $18.90M

Sì: 39% (39¢)

24h: $1.76M · 2.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 46% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.7%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Ukraine Agrees Not to Join NATO Before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Ukraine Agrees Not to Join NATO Before 2027? (39¢ / 2.56x · $18.90M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $22.80M

Sì: 28% (28¢)

24h: $2.14M · 3.57x

Prob. Reale JEV: 39% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.6%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Zelenskyy Out as President of Ukraine Before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Zelenskyy Out as President of Ukraine Before 2027? (28¢ / 3.57x · $22.80M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $12.52M

Sì: 3% (3¢)

24h: $93.3K · 33.33x

Prob. Reale JEV: 14% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.7%)

Report Davide Conti: NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2026-10-26 · NATO x Russia military clash by...? (3¢ / 33.33x · $12.52M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $54.20M

Sì: 44% (44¢)

24h: $4.15M · 2.27x

Prob. Reale JEV: 54% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.9%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Russia x Ukraine High-Level Diplomatic Meeting?

2026-10-26 · Russia x Ukraine High-Level Diplomatic Meeting? (44¢ / 2.27x · $54.20M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

90.8% $36.92M

Sì: 66% (66¢)

24h: $1.27M · 1.52x

Prob. Reale JEV: 76% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (14.7%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

2026-10-25 · Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (66¢ / 1.52x · $36.92M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

90.7% $4.41M

Sì: 38% (38¢)

24h: $12.3K · 2.63x

Prob. Reale JEV: 46% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.5%)

Report Davide Conti: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

2026-10-25 · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? (38¢ / 2.63x · $4.41M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

90.6% $2.60M

Sì: 50% (50¢)

24h: $2.54M · 2.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 56% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.0%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Spurs vs. Mavericks

2026-10-25 · Spurs vs. Mavericks (50¢ / 2.0x · $2.60M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

90.6% $6.61M

Sì: 2% (2¢)

24h: $1.06M · 50.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 11% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.6%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

2026-10-25 · Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory (2¢ / 50.0x · $6.61M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

90.5% $716.49M

Sì: 2% (2¢)

24h: $333.0K · 50.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 10% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.1%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

2026-10-25 · Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 (2¢ / 50.0x · $716.49M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

90.4% $74.77M

Sì: 4% (4¢)

24h: $76.1K · 25.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 11% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.6%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

2026-10-25 · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? (4¢ / 25.0x · $74.77M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

90.2% $1297.94M

Sì: 17% (17¢)

24h: $439.0K · 5.88x

Prob. Reale JEV: 27% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.0%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

2026-10-25 · Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (17¢ / 5.88x · $1297.94M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

90.1% $1.65M

Sì: 60% (60¢)

24h: $1.24M · 1.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 70% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (12.5%)

Report Giulia Moretti: FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF

2026-10-25 · FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF (60¢ / 1.67x · $1.65M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

90.0% $15.66M

Sì: 4% (4¢)

24h: $366.7K · 25.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 15% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.7%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Xi Jinping out before 2027?

2026-10-25 · Xi Jinping out before 2027? (4¢ / 25.0x · $15.66M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

89.6% $52.59M

Sì: 28% (28¢)

24h: $579.0K · 3.57x

Prob. Reale JEV: 37% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.2%)

Report Davide Conti: Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

2026-10-25 · Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? (28¢ / 3.57x · $52.59M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

89.3% $1.63M

Sì: 50% (50¢)

24h: $1.58M · 2.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 60% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.0%)

Report Giulia Moretti: BYU vs. UCF

2026-10-25 · BYU vs. UCF (50¢ / 2.0x · $1.63M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

87.6% $18.72M

Sì: 2% (2¢)

24h: $3.6K · 50.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 11% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.6%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

2026-10-25 · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? (2¢ / 50.0x · $18.72M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

87.1% $1.11M

Sì: 58% (58¢)

24h: $880.0K · 1.72x

Prob. Reale JEV: 65% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.3%)

Report Davide Conti: Bengals vs. Ravens

2026-10-25 · Bengals vs. Ravens (58¢ / 1.72x · $1.11M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

87.1% $30.93M

Sì: 6% (6¢)

24h: $27.2K · 16.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 12% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.2%)

Report Giulia Moretti: New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

2026-10-25 · New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? (6¢ / 16.67x · $30.93M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

86.8% $249.7K

Sì: 5% (5¢)

24h: $29.2K · 20.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 16% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.8%)

Report Giulia Moretti: How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

2026-10-25 · How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? (5¢ / 20.0x · $249.7K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

86.4% $217.9K

Sì: 8% (8¢)

24h: $188.4K · 12.5x

Prob. Reale JEV: 18% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.4%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

2026-10-25 · Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026? (8¢ / 12.5x · $217.9K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

86.3% $2.27M

Sì: 28% (28¢)

24h: $478.0K · 3.57x

Prob. Reale JEV: 34% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.2%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Israeli Legislative Election Winner

2026-10-25 · Israeli Legislative Election Winner (28¢ / 3.57x · $2.27M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

85.9% $66.69M

Sì: 1% (1¢)

24h: $6.9K · 100.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 12% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.6%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

2026-10-25 · Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? (1¢ / 100.0x · $66.69M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

85.8% $1.61M

Sì: 50% (50¢)

24h: $1.54M · 2.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 60% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.0%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Indiana vs. Michigan

2026-10-25 · Indiana vs. Michigan (50¢ / 2.0x · $1.61M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

85.8% $15.50M

Sì: 12% (12¢)

24h: $58.9K · 8.33x

Prob. Reale JEV: 18% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.4%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

2026-10-25 · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? (12¢ / 8.33x · $15.50M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

85.8% $4.67M

Sì: 51% (51¢)

24h: $4.63M · 1.96x

Prob. Reale JEV: 58% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.1%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Wizards vs. Bulls

2026-10-25 · Wizards vs. Bulls (51¢ / 1.96x · $4.67M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

85.6% $2.67M

Sì: 50% (50¢)

24h: $2.51M · 2.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 56% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.0%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Ole Miss vs. Texas

2026-10-25 · Ole Miss vs. Texas (50¢ / 2.0x · $2.67M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

85.3% $5.37M

Sì: 74% (74¢)

24h: $718.1K · 1.35x

Prob. Reale JEV: 82% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (15.4%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

2026-10-25 · Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner (74¢ / 1.35x · $5.37M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

84.5% $1.04M

Sì: 16% (16¢)

24h: $327.1K · 6.25x

Prob. Reale JEV: 23% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.2%)

Report Davide Conti: Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

2026-10-25 · Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? (16¢ / 6.25x · $1.04M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-25

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

84.5% $64.33M

Sì: 18% (18¢)

24h: $3.40M · 5.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 24% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.7%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

2026-10-25 · Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 (18¢ / 5.56x · $64.33M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

92.0% $645.2K

Sì: 19% (19¢)

24h: $31.5K · 5.26x

Prob. Reale JEV: 28% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.6%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

2026-10-27 · Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? (19¢ / 5.26x · $645.2K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-27

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IA e Tecnologia

92.0% $286.9K

Sì: 22% (22¢)

24h: $2.3K · 4.55x

Prob. Reale JEV: 30% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.1%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

2026-10-27 · Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31? (22¢ / 4.55x · $286.9K USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-27

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $160.3K

Sì: 46% (46¢)

24h: $7.7K · 2.17x

Prob. Reale JEV: 56% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.3%)

Report Davide Conti: New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

2026-10-27 · New Taipei Mayor Election Winner (46¢ / 2.17x · $160.3K USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-27

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $520.8K

Sì: 6% (6¢)

24h: $2.1K · 16.67x

Prob. Reale JEV: 12% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.2%)

Report Davide Conti: Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

2026-10-26 · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? (6¢ / 16.67x · $520.8K USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $3.49M

Sì: 4% (4¢)

24h: $2.3K · 25.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 11% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.6%)

Report Davide Conti: China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

2026-10-26 · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? (4¢ / 25.0x · $3.49M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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IA e Tecnologia

92.0% $55.7K

Sì: 49% (49¢)

24h: $2.4K · 2.04x

Prob. Reale JEV: 59% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (9.8%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

2026-10-26 · Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? (49¢ / 2.04x · $55.7K USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $315.7K

Sì: 69% (69¢)

24h: $2.7K · 1.45x

Prob. Reale JEV: 77% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (12.9%)

Report Chiara De Luca: 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026-10-26 · 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner (69¢ / 1.45x · $315.7K USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Fed e Macroeconomia

92.0% $164.2K

Sì: 26% (26¢)

24h: $3.1K · 3.85x

Prob. Reale JEV: 37% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.4%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

2026-10-26 · Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? (26¢ / 3.85x · $164.2K USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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IA e Tecnologia

92.0% $77.4K

Sì: 28% (28¢)

24h: $1.9K · 3.57x

Prob. Reale JEV: 39% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.6%)

Report Davide Conti: Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

2026-10-26 · Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? (28¢ / 3.57x · $77.4K USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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IA e Tecnologia

92.0% $108.2K

Sì: 14% (14¢)

24h: $10.1K · 7.14x

Prob. Reale JEV: 22% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (4.7%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

2026-10-25 · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? (14¢ / 7.14x · $108.2K USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $1.86M

Sì: 62% (62¢)

24h: $55.8K · 1.61x

Prob. Reale JEV: 72% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (13.2%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Taipei Mayor Election Winner

2026-10-25 · Taipei Mayor Election Winner (62¢ / 1.61x · $1.86M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Politica ed Elezioni

92.0% $44.94M

Sì: 2% (2¢)

24h: $212.5K · 50.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 8% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.1%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2026-10-25 · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? (2¢ / 50.0x · $44.94M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.5% $11.5M

Sì: 65% (65¢)

24h: $980.0K · 1.54x

Prob. Reale JEV: 74% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (12.9%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Bank of Korea (BOK) Base Rate Cut & USD/KRW Below 1,350 in 2026?

2026-11-02 · Bank of Korea (BOK) Base Rate Cut & USD/KRW Below 1,350 in 2026? (65¢ / 1.54x · $11.5M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-11-02

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₿ Cripto e Web3

91.5% $24.6M

Sì: 54% (54¢)

24h: $2.12M · 1.85x

Prob. Reale JEV: 64% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.9%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Korea Crypto: Upbit Bitcoin Kimchi Premium >8% & BTC $150,000 in 2026?

2026-11-01 · Korea Crypto: Upbit Bitcoin Kimchi Premium >8% & BTC $150,000 in 2026? (54¢ / 1.85x · $24.6M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-11-01

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $7.5M

Sì: 52% (52¢)

24h: $670.0K · 1.92x

Prob. Reale JEV: 63% (+11% EV) Calcola con Kelly (11.5%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Japan-China Leaders Summit & Diplomatic Agreement before 2027?

2026-10-31 · Japan-China Leaders Summit & Diplomatic Agreement before 2027? (52¢ / 1.92x · $7.5M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-31

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $9.7M

Sì: 79% (79¢)

24h: $880.0K · 1.27x

Prob. Reale JEV: 89% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (23.8%)

Report Giulia Moretti: NPB Japan Series & Samurai Blue Japan National Team Victory?

2026-10-31 · NPB Japan Series & Samurai Blue Japan National Team Victory? (79¢ / 1.27x · $9.7M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-31

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.5% $13.2M

Sì: 61% (61¢)

24h: $1.05M · 1.64x

Prob. Reale JEV: 69% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.3%)

Report Davide Conti: Will Nikkei 225 Stock Index close above 45,000 in 2026?

2026-10-31 · Will Nikkei 225 Stock Index close above 45,000 in 2026? (61¢ / 1.64x · $13.2M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-31

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $7.8M

Sì: 68% (68¢)

24h: $640.0K · 1.47x

Prob. Reale JEV: 78% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (15.6%)

Report Davide Conti: India Annual Inflation (CPI) & RBI Repo Rate Cut in 2026?

2026-10-29 · India Annual Inflation (CPI) & RBI Repo Rate Cut in 2026? (68¢ / 1.47x · $7.8M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-29

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $8.9M

Sì: 62% (62¢)

24h: $760.0K · 1.61x

Prob. Reale JEV: 68% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.9%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Indian State Assembly Elections: Will BJP-NDA win majority in key states?

2026-10-29 · Indian State Assembly Elections: Will BJP-NDA win majority in key states? (62¢ / 1.61x · $8.9M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-29

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $19.2M

Sì: 58% (58¢)

24h: $1.86M · 1.72x

Prob. Reale JEV: 64% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.1%)

Report Chiara De Luca: TATA IPL 2026 Champion: Will CSK, MI, or RCB win the IPL Trophy?

2026-10-29 · TATA IPL 2026 Champion: Will CSK, MI, or RCB win the IPL Trophy? (58¢ / 1.72x · $19.2M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-29

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $11.4M

Sì: 86% (86¢)

24h: $980.0K · 1.16x

Prob. Reale JEV: 93% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (25.0%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Narendra Modi remains Prime Minister of India through 2027?

2026-10-29 · Narendra Modi remains Prime Minister of India through 2027? (86¢ / 1.16x · $11.4M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-29

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $14.80M

Sì: 46% (46¢)

24h: $1.62M · 2.17x

Prob. Reale JEV: 52% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.6%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Will the US Lift CAATSA Sanctions on Turkey?

2026-10-26 · Will the US Lift CAATSA Sanctions on Turkey? (46¢ / 2.17x · $14.80M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $16.50M

Sì: 52% (52¢)

24h: $1.49M · 1.92x

Prob. Reale JEV: 60% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.3%)

Report Davide Conti: Bundesliga Most Assists Winner (2026–27 Season)

2026-10-26 · Bundesliga Most Assists Winner (2026–27 Season) (52¢ / 1.92x · $16.50M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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Fed e Macroeconomia

91.5% $14.80M

Sì: 64% (64¢)

24h: $1.38M · 1.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 73% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (12.5%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Germany GDP Growth Positive in Q3 2026?

2026-10-26 · Germany GDP Growth Positive in Q3 2026? (64¢ / 1.56x · $14.80M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $11.20M

Sì: 58% (58¢)

24h: $1.06M · 1.72x

Prob. Reale JEV: 67% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.7%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt (Germany)

2026-10-26 · Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt (Germany) (58¢ / 1.72x · $11.20M USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $23.60M

Sì: 24% (24¢)

24h: $2.34M · 4.17x

Prob. Reale JEV: 34% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.6%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Friedrich Merz Out as Chancellor of Germany Before 2027?

2026-10-26 · Friedrich Merz Out as Chancellor of Germany Before 2027? (24¢ / 4.17x · $23.60M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $12.40M

Sì: 18% (18¢)

24h: $1.15M · 5.56x

Prob. Reale JEV: 27% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (5.5%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Will French President Emmanuel Macron Leave Office Early?

2026-10-26 · Will French President Emmanuel Macron Leave Office Early? (18¢ / 5.56x · $12.40M USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $15.20M

Sì: 55% (55¢)

24h: $1.42M · 1.82x

Prob. Reale JEV: 61% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.7%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Next French Presidential Election: Who Advances to Round 2?

2026-10-26 · Next French Presidential Election: Who Advances to Round 2? (55¢ / 1.82x · $15.20M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $9.40M

Sì: 58% (58¢)

24h: $980K · 1.72x

Prob. Reale JEV: 67% (+9% EV) Calcola con Kelly (10.7%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Mexico Annual Inflation Rate in 2026?

2026-10-26 · Mexico Annual Inflation Rate in 2026? (58¢ / 1.72x · $9.40M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $14.10M

Sì: 49% (49¢)

24h: $1.35M · 2.04x

Prob. Reale JEV: 56% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (6.9%)

Report Davide Conti: Which North American Cartel Leaders Will Be Arrested in 2026?

2026-10-26 · Which North American Cartel Leaders Will Be Arrested in 2026? (49¢ / 2.04x · $14.10M USDC)

Davide Conti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $18.90M

Sì: 56% (56¢)

24h: $1.92M · 1.79x

Prob. Reale JEV: 66% (+10% EV) Calcola con Kelly (11.4%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Argentina Presidential Election Winner

2026-10-26 · Argentina Presidential Election Winner (56¢ / 1.79x · $18.90M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Sport e Calcio Mondiale

91.5% $9.80M

Sì: 54% (54¢)

24h: $1.05M · 1.85x

Prob. Reale JEV: 62% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (8.7%)

Report Matteo Ferrari, CFA: Brazil Annual Inflation (IPCA) in 2026?

2026-10-26 · Brazil Annual Inflation (IPCA) in 2026? (54¢ / 1.85x · $9.80M USDC)

Matteo Ferrari, CFA · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.5% $93.7K

Sì: 10% (10¢)

24h: $8.8K · 10.0x

Prob. Reale JEV: 16% (+6% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.3%)

Report Giulia Moretti: Bank of Brazil Interest Rate Decision in November?

2026-10-26 · Bank of Brazil Interest Rate Decision in November? (10¢ / 10.0x · $93.7K USDC)

Giulia Moretti · 2026-10-26

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Politica ed Elezioni

91.1% $156.50M

Sì: 45% (45¢)

24h: $679.6K · 2.22x

Prob. Reale JEV: 53% (+8% EV) Calcola con Kelly (7.3%)

Report Lorenzo Romano: Next French Presidential Election

2026-10-25 · Next French Presidential Election (45¢ / 2.22x · $156.50M USDC)

Lorenzo Romano · 2026-10-25

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IA e Tecnologia

89.7% $324.2K

Sì: 8% (8¢)

24h: $15.5K · 12.5x

Prob. Reale JEV: 15% (+7% EV) Calcola con Kelly (3.8%)

Report Chiara De Luca: Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

2026-10-25 · Best Chinese AI Company end of October? (8¢ / 12.5x · $324.2K USDC)

Chiara De Luca · 2026-10-25

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